Serious Weather next week? - Page 2

optrex · 15-01-2007, 01:26 PM

OMG! here you can see the detail. Don't forget we still have 3 days to go, so things will change, rain across the country, but on this run you can clearly see heavy rain is expected over Snowdonia, Cumbria and the Pennines.

Winds are excessive - definately gales across the whole of the country, with gusts around 60-70 mph in exposed areas.

optrex · 16-01-2007, 10:14 AM

I feel like I'm talking to myself on this thread

Subtle change again today as the low drops deeper. Still wet and windy, France looks as though it will get stronger winds than the UK. Midlands currently getting the worst combination of heavy rain combined with the strong winds.

**Will** · 16-01-2007, 11:53 AM

I am listening, I'm just not going to pretend that I understand some of the names you're coming out with,

It is appreciated and I'm definitely gaining some insight into how precarious weather forecasting is.

optrex · 16-01-2007, 12:03 PM

Oops, I thought I was keeping it simple - what names do you need me to clarify?

chillitt · 16-01-2007, 12:52 PM

i would have replied, but i was out filling sandbags and battening down hatches..

Madhatter · 16-01-2007, 01:02 PM

Like will said.Please carry on, most interesting.

optrex · 16-01-2007, 11:07 PM

This is the 2nd run of today, but as it shows a significant change to Scotland, I thought it would be worth showing. As you can see, the isobars are less pronounced, indicating light winds for Scotland. The tighter the isobars, the stronger the wind, so the rest of the country remins very windy.
Isobars are the black lines on the chart. Each line represents a 2mb change in pressure.

Low pressure systems rotate in an anticlockwise direction, so as the low is in the North Sea, you can see that winds will be from West to East. (Highs rotate in a clockwise direction).

Rain is indicated in the colours. Dark blue upto 20mm, light blue upto 10mm, dark green upto 5mm in 6 hours.

**Shizara** · 16-01-2007, 11:56 PM

Well... it is snowing in Stirling..... Can someone blow a bit this way?

**Shizara** · 16-01-2007, 11:56 PM

... also Glasgow and Hamilton

Madhatter · 17-01-2007, 12:05 AM

big kid aren't ya hun, you'll be out there building a snow man.

optrex · 17-01-2007, 12:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Madhatter

big kid aren't ya hun, you'll be out there building a snow man.

You'd have to get past me first

optrex · 17-01-2007, 12:16 AM

Seeing as you lot are obsessed with snow (aren't we all) I found this.

This chart is the closest I have for now. (reports of snow across northern Scotland tonight) This is the midnight forecast for Tues/Wed 17th Jan.

See the blue dotted line across the northern edge of Scotland. This is the 528
DAM line (its a thickness of air measurement) but as I mentioned earlier, its what is associated with snow. Basically, if you have that and you have rain, 9 times out of 10 it will fall as snow or a wintry shower.

**Shizara** · 17-01-2007, 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Madhatter

big kid aren't ya hun, you'll be out there building a snow man.

Of course! Are you going to help?

**Shizara** · 17-01-2007, 12:27 AM

Should it ever snow here again I think we all have an obligation to take photos, make snowmen and take more photos... The gallery is a handy place for them too

optrex · 17-01-2007, 10:05 AM

You might just have your wish sooner than you think. For the UK as a whole, Satuday to Tuesdays has strong possibilies.

Snow on the way for the weekend? - Midlands Weather Forum - A UK Weather Forum

15-01-2007, 01:26 PM	#17 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	OMG! here you can see the detail. Don't forget we still have 3 days to go, so things will change, rain across the country, but on this run you can clearly see heavy rain is expected over Snowdonia, Cumbria and the Pennines. Winds are excessive - definately gales across the whole of the country, with gusts around 60-70 mph in exposed areas. __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather

16-01-2007, 10:14 AM	#18 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	I feel like I'm talking to myself on this thread Subtle change again today as the low drops deeper. Still wet and windy, France looks as though it will get stronger winds than the UK. Midlands currently getting the worst combination of heavy rain combined with the strong winds. __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather

16-01-2007, 11:53 AM	#19 (permalink)
Will Administrator Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Stratford Upon Avon Posts: 1,005	I am listening, I'm just not going to pretend that I understand some of the names you're coming out with, It is appreciated and I'm definitely gaining some insight into how precarious weather forecasting is. __________________ --==Forum Admin Will==-- Your Friendly Forum Admin. - Contact me.

16-01-2007, 12:03 PM	#20 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	Oops, I thought I was keeping it simple - what names do you need me to clarify? __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather

16-01-2007, 01:02 PM	#22 (permalink)
Madhatter Chatterbox Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Atherstone Posts: 412	Like will said.Please carry on, most interesting. __________________ Madhatter

16-01-2007, 12:52 PM	#21 (permalink)
chillitt Running on empty Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: warwick Posts: 473	i would have replied, but i was out filling sandbags and battening down hatches..

16-01-2007, 11:07 PM	#23 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	This is the 2nd run of today, but as it shows a significant change to Scotland, I thought it would be worth showing. As you can see, the isobars are less pronounced, indicating light winds for Scotland. The tighter the isobars, the stronger the wind, so the rest of the country remins very windy. Isobars are the black lines on the chart. Each line represents a 2mb change in pressure. Low pressure systems rotate in an anticlockwise direction, so as the low is in the North Sea, you can see that winds will be from West to East. (Highs rotate in a clockwise direction). Rain is indicated in the colours. Dark blue upto 20mm, light blue upto 10mm, dark green upto 5mm in 6 hours. __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather

16-01-2007, 11:56 PM	#24 (permalink)
Shizara Super Moderator Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Nuneaton Posts: 1,229	Well... it is snowing in Stirling..... Can someone blow a bit this way? __________________ Cool

16-01-2007, 11:56 PM	#25 (permalink)
Shizara Super Moderator Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Nuneaton Posts: 1,229	... also Glasgow and Hamilton __________________ Cool

17-01-2007, 12:05 AM	#26 (permalink)
Madhatter Chatterbox Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Atherstone Posts: 412	big kid aren't ya hun, you'll be out there building a snow man. __________________ Madhatter

17-01-2007, 12:16 AM	#28 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	snow - off topic Seeing as you lot are obsessed with snow (aren't we all) I found this. This chart is the closest I have for now. (reports of snow across northern Scotland tonight) This is the midnight forecast for Tues/Wed 17th Jan. See the blue dotted line across the northern edge of Scotland. This is the 528 DAM line (its a thickness of air measurement) but as I mentioned earlier, its what is associated with snow. Basically, if you have that and you have rain, 9 times out of 10 it will fall as snow or a wintry shower. __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather

17-01-2007, 12:27 AM	#30 (permalink)
Shizara Super Moderator Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Nuneaton Posts: 1,229	Should it ever snow here again I think we all have an obligation to take photos, make snowmen and take more photos... The gallery is a handy place for them too __________________ Cool

17-01-2007, 10:05 AM	#31 (permalink)
optrex Community Senior Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Tamworth Posts: 513	You might just have your wish sooner than you think. For the UK as a whole, Satuday to Tuesdays has strong possibilies. Snow on the way for the weekend? - Midlands Weather Forum - A UK Weather Forum __________________ Live UK Lightning and Strom Tracking Midlands Weather Forum - Tamworth Weather Station - NZ Weather